2026-05-09
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
16 sources · 13 fights
138 MMA↗Artem MMA↗Bedtime MMA↗BetSam↗DFS By The NumbersHopperoMMA↗JakeGerberMMA↗Kunath↗Lucrative James↗MMA Experts↗Sideswipe MMA↗Slayers Picks↗SplitAces_The MMA Guru↗TheWeasle↗We Want Picks↗
Community recap
8/13 fights called correctly
62%
Best call
Baisangur Susurkaev
100% backed · Submission
Upset
Sean Strickland
100% missed · crowd picked Khamzat Chimaev
Consensus
Jared Gordon
Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon
-330
✗ Missed
Khamzat Chimaev
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland
No Value
-590
✗ Missed
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos
No Value
-670
✓ Hit
Underdog Picks
Joaquin Buckley
56% of analysts · Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley
+140
✗ Missed
Mateusz Rębecki
56% of analysts · Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rębecki
+122
✗ Missed
Contrarian Pick
Roman Kopylov
Only 44% of analysts · Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio
+150
Main Card
5 fights
▼
Sub lean Strong consensus
16 sources
High conviction · 75%
Result
UpsetSean Strickland via Decision
Hide breakdown
▼
Khamzat Chimaev · 16
TH
TheWeasle High
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
LJ
Lucrative James High
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
WP
We Want Picks High
Khamzat Chimaev
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
BE
BetSam High
Khamzat Chimaev
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
AM
Artem MMA Med
Khamzat Chimaev
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Khamzat Chimaev · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
HO
HopperoMMA High
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
TG
The MMA Guru High
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
SM
Sideswipe MMA Low
Khamzat Chimaev
ME
MMA Experts High
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
KU
Kunath High
Khamzat Chimaev · Submission
1M
138 MMA High
Khamzat Chimaev
Sean Strickland · 0
No picks
Sub lean Contested
16 sources
Moderate conviction · 25%
Result
Joshua Van via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Joshua Van · 8
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Joshua Van · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Joshua Van
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Joshua Van · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Joshua Van · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Joshua Van · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Joshua Van
ME
MMA Experts High
Joshua Van · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Med
Joshua Van
Tatsuro Taira · 8
TH
TheWeasle High
Tatsuro Taira · Submission
LJ
Lucrative James High
Tatsuro Taira · Submission
BE
BetSam High
Tatsuro Taira
AM
Artem MMA High
Tatsuro Taira · Submission
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Tatsuro Taira · Submission
HO
HopperoMMA High
Tatsuro Taira · Submission
TG
The MMA Guru High
Tatsuro Taira
KU
Kunath High
Tatsuro Taira · Submission
Decision lean Strong consensus
16 sources
Moderate conviction · 33%
Result
75% called it ✓Alexander Volkov via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Alexander Volkov · 12
TH
TheWeasle Med
Alexander Volkov · Decision
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Alexander Volkov · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Alexander Volkov · Decision
BE
BetSam Med
Alexander Volkov
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Alexander Volkov · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Alexander Volkov
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Alexander Volkov · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Alexander Volkov · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA High
Alexander Volkov · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Alexander Volkov
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Alexander Volkov
1M
138 MMA High
Alexander Volkov
KO/TKO lean
16 sources
High conviction · 56%
Result
UpsetSean Brady via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Joaquin Buckley · 9
WP
We Want Picks High
Joaquin Buckley
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Joaquin Buckley
BE
BetSam High
Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers Low
Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Decision lean Strong consensus
16 sources
Moderate conviction · 46%
Result
81% called it ✓King Green via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
King Green · 13
TH
TheWeasle High
King Green · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
King Green · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
King Green · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
King Green
SP
SplitAces_ Low
King Green
BE
BetSam High
King Green · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
King Green · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
King Green · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
King Green · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
King Green · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA High
King Green · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
King Green
1M
138 MMA Low
King Green
Prelims
4 fights
▼
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
16 sources
High conviction · 100%
Result
94% called it ✓Ateba Gautier via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Ateba Gautier · 15
TH
TheWeasle High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks High
Ateba Gautier
SP
SplitAces_ High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
BE
BetSam High
Ateba Gautier
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Ateba Gautier
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Ateba Gautier
ME
MMA Experts High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA High
Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
Osman Diaz · 1
AM
Artem MMA Med
Osman Diaz
Decision lean
16 sources
High conviction · 55%
Result
Crowd leaned right ✓Yaroslav Amosov via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Yaroslav Amosov · 11
TH
TheWeasle High
Yaroslav Amosov · Submission
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Yaroslav Amosov · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Yaroslav Amosov · Decision
WP
We Want Picks High
Yaroslav Amosov
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Yaroslav Amosov
AM
Artem MMA Med
Yaroslav Amosov
HO
HopperoMMA High
Yaroslav Amosov · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Yaroslav Amosov · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Yaroslav Amosov
ME
MMA Experts High
Yaroslav Amosov
KU
Kunath High
Yaroslav Amosov · Submission
KO/TKO lean
16 sources
Low conviction · 22%
Result
UpsetGrant Dawson via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Mateusz Rębecki · 9
TH
TheWeasle Med
Mateusz Rębecki · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Mateusz Rębecki
SP
SplitAces_ High
Mateusz Rębecki
BE
BetSam Med
Mateusz Rębecki
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Mateusz Rębecki · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Mateusz Rębecki · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Mateusz Rębecki · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Mateusz Rębecki · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Mateusz Rębecki · KO/TKO
Decision lean Strong consensus
16 sources
Low conviction · 12%
Result
UpsetJim Miller via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Jared Gordon · 16
TH
TheWeasle High
Jared Gordon · Decision
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Jared Gordon · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Jared Gordon · Decision
WP
We Want Picks Med
Jared Gordon
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Jared Gordon
BE
BetSam Med
Jared Gordon · Decision
BM
Bedtime MMA Low
Jared Gordon · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Low
Jared Gordon · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Jared Gordon · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Jared Gordon · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Jared Gordon · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Jared Gordon
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Jared Gordon
ME
MMA Experts High
Jared Gordon · Decision
KU
Kunath Med
Jared Gordon · Decision
1M
138 MMA Low
Jared Gordon
Jim Miller · 0
No picks
Early Prelims
4 fights
▼
Decision lean
16 sources
Low conviction · 22%
Result
UpsetRoman Kopylov via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Marco Tulio · 9
LJ
Lucrative James Low
Marco Tulio · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Marco Tulio
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Marco Tulio · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Marco Tulio · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Marco Tulio · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Marco Tulio · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA Low
Marco Tulio
ME
MMA Experts High
Marco Tulio · Decision
KU
Kunath Med
Marco Tulio · KO/TKO
Decision lean Strong consensus
16 sources
Moderate conviction · 43%
Result
88% called it ✓Pat Sabatini via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Pat Sabatini · 14
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Pat Sabatini · Submission
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Pat Sabatini · Decision
WP
We Want Picks High
Pat Sabatini
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Pat Sabatini
BE
BetSam High
Pat Sabatini · Submission
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Pat Sabatini · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Pat Sabatini · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Pat Sabatini · Submission
HO
HopperoMMA High
Pat Sabatini · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Pat Sabatini · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Pat Sabatini
ME
MMA Experts High
Pat Sabatini · Submission
KU
Kunath High
Pat Sabatini · Submission
1M
138 MMA Med
Pat Sabatini
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
16 sources
High conviction · 69%
Result
100% called it ✓Baisangur Susurkaev via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Baisangur Susurkaev · 16
TH
TheWeasle High
Baisangur Susurkaev · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Baisangur Susurkaev · Submission
SP
Slayers Picks High
Baisangur Susurkaev · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Baisangur Susurkaev
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Baisangur Susurkaev
BE
BetSam High
Baisangur Susurkaev · Submission
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Baisangur Susurkaev · Decision
AM
Artem MMA High
Baisangur Susurkaev
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Baisangur Susurkaev · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Baisangur Susurkaev · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA High
Baisangur Susurkaev · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Baisangur Susurkaev
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Baisangur Susurkaev
ME
MMA Experts High
Baisangur Susurkaev · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath Low
Baisangur Susurkaev
1M
138 MMA High
Baisangur Susurkaev
Djorden Santos · 0
No picks
Decision lean Strong consensus
16 sources
Moderate conviction · 25%
Result
75% called it ✓Jose Ochoa via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Jose Ochoa · 12
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Jose Ochoa · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Jose Ochoa · KO/TKO
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Jose Ochoa
BE
BetSam Med
Jose Ochoa · Decision
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Jose Ochoa · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Jose Ochoa · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Jose Ochoa · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA Low
Jose Ochoa · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Jose Ochoa · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Jose Ochoa · Decision
KU
Kunath Med
Jose Ochoa · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Med
Jose Ochoa
Not financial advice · Always do your own research · Gamble responsibly
u/SplitAces_ · Data from 16 public sources
u/SplitAces_ · Data from 16 public sources
SplitPicks consensus pick: Zara Vance by TKO · splitpicks.com