2026-07-11
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
17 sources · 14 fights
138 MMA↗Artem MMA↗Bedtime MMA↗BetSam↗DFS By The Numbers↗Half The Battle↗HopperoMMA↗JakeGerberMMA↗Kunath↗Lucrative James↗MMA Experts↗Sideswipe MMA↗Slayers Picks↗SplitAces_The MMA Guru↗TheWeasle↗We Want Picks↗
Community recap
11/14 fights called correctly
79%
Best call
Max Holloway
100% backed · KO/TKO
Upset
Brandon Royval
100% missed · crowd picked Lone'er Kavanagh
Consensus
Max Holloway
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
-235
✓ Hit
Lone'er Kavanagh
Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh
-230
✗ Missed
Adrian Yañez
Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yañez
-440
✓ Hit
Luke Riley
Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III
-310
✓ Hit
Gable Steveson
Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison
UFC DEBUT
No Value
-4000
✓ Hit
Farid Basharat
Farid Basharat vs John Garza
No Value
-670
✓ Hit
Underdog Pick
Paddy Pimblett
76% of analysts · Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett
+114
✓ Hit
Contrarian Pick
Mario Bautista
Only 41% of analysts · Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista
+122
Main Card
5 fights
▼
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
High conviction · 76%
Result
100% called it ✓Max Holloway via KO/TKO
Hide breakdown
▼
Max Holloway · 17
TH
TheWeasle High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks High
Max Holloway
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Max Holloway
BE
BetSam High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Max Holloway · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
HB
Half The Battle High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath High
Max Holloway · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Low
Max Holloway
Conor McGregor · 0
No picks
Sub lean Strong consensus
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 46%
Result
76% called it ✓Paddy Pimblett via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Paddy Pimblett · 13
LJ
Lucrative James High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Paddy Pimblett · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Low
Paddy Pimblett
BE
BetSam High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
AM
Artem MMA Low
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Paddy Pimblett · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
TG
The MMA Guru High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Paddy Pimblett · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
KU
Kunath High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
1M
138 MMA Med
Paddy Pimblett
Decision lean
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 30%
Result
UpsetMario Bautista via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Cory Sandhagen · 10
TH
TheWeasle Med
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
BE
BetSam Med
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Cory Sandhagen
ME
MMA Experts High
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
KU
Kunath High
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
1M
138 MMA Med
Cory Sandhagen
Mario Bautista · 7
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Mario Bautista · Decision
WP
We Want Picks Med
Mario Bautista
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Mario Bautista
DN
DFS By The Numbers Low
Mario Bautista · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA Low
Mario Bautista · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Mario Bautista · Decision
HB
Half The Battle Med
Mario Bautista · Decision
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
High conviction · 65%
Result
UpsetBrandon Royval via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Lone'er Kavanagh · 17
TH
TheWeasle High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Lone'er Kavanagh
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Lone'er Kavanagh
BE
BetSam High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
AM
Artem MMA High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA Low
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Lone'er Kavanagh
HB
Half The Battle High
Lone'er Kavanagh
KU
Kunath High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Low
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
Brandon Royval · 0
No picks
KO/TKO lean
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 30%
Result
UpsetKing Green via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Terrance McKinney · 10
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Terrance McKinney · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Terrance McKinney · Submission
WP
We Want Picks Low
Terrance McKinney
AM
Artem MMA High
Terrance McKinney · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Terrance McKinney · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Terrance McKinney · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA Low
Terrance McKinney
ME
MMA Experts High
Terrance McKinney · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath Med
Terrance McKinney · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Low
Terrance McKinney
Prelims
4 fights
▼
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 46%
Result
76% called it ✓Robert Whittaker via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Robert Whittaker · 13
TH
TheWeasle High
Robert Whittaker · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Robert Whittaker · Decision
WP
We Want Picks Med
Robert Whittaker
BE
BetSam High
Robert Whittaker · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Robert Whittaker · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Robert Whittaker
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Robert Whittaker · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Robert Whittaker · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Robert Whittaker · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Robert Whittaker · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Robert Whittaker · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Robert Whittaker · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Low
Robert Whittaker
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
High conviction · 88%
Result
100% called it ✓Gable Steveson via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Gable Steveson · 17
TH
TheWeasle High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
SP
SplitAces_ High
Gable Steveson
BE
BetSam High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Gable Steveson · Submission
TG
The MMA Guru High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Gable Steveson
ME
MMA Experts High
Gable Steveson · KO/TKO
HB
Half The Battle High
Gable Steveson
KU
Kunath High
Gable Steveson
1M
138 MMA High
Gable Steveson
Elisha Ellison · 0
No picks
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
High conviction · 53%
Result
100% called it ✓Adrian Yañez via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Adrian Yañez · 17
TH
TheWeasle High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Adrian Yañez
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Adrian Yañez
BE
BetSam High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
HB
Half The Battle High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath High
Adrian Yañez · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Low
Adrian Yañez
Cody Garbrandt · 0
No picks
Decision lean Strong consensus
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 41%
Result
100% called it ✓Luke Riley via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Luke Riley · 17
TH
TheWeasle High
Luke Riley · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Luke Riley · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Luke Riley · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Luke Riley · Decision
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Luke Riley
BE
BetSam High
Luke Riley · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Luke Riley · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Luke Riley · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Luke Riley · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Luke Riley · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA High
Luke Riley · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Luke Riley · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Luke Riley
ME
MMA Experts Med
Luke Riley · Decision
HB
Half The Battle Med
Luke Riley · Decision
KU
Kunath High
Luke Riley · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Med
Luke Riley
Kai Kamaka III · 0
No picks
Early Prelims
5 fights
▼
Decision lean
WMMA
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 45%
Result
Crowd leaned right ✓Wang Cong via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Wang Cong · 11
TH
TheWeasle High
Wang Cong · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Wang Cong · Decision
WP
We Want Picks Med
Wang Cong
BE
BetSam Med
Wang Cong · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Wang Cong
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Wang Cong · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Wang Cong · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Wang Cong · KO/TKO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Wang Cong
ME
MMA Experts High
Wang Cong · Decision
1M
138 MMA Med
Wang Cong · Decision
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
16 sources
High conviction · 57%
Result
88% called it ✓Damian Pinas via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Damian Pinas · 14
TH
TheWeasle High
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Damian Pinas
BE
BetSam High
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA High
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Damian Pinas · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Damian Pinas · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
HB
Half The Battle High
Damian Pinas
KU
Kunath High
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Med
Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Decision lean Strong consensus
9 sources
Moderate conviction · 33%
Result
100% called it ✓Farid Basharat via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Farid Basharat · 9
TH
TheWeasle High
Farid Basharat · Submission
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Farid Basharat · Decision
WP
We Want Picks High
Farid Basharat
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Farid Basharat
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Farid Basharat · Decision
AM
Artem MMA High
Farid Basharat · Submission
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Farid Basharat · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Farid Basharat · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA Low
Farid Basharat
John Garza · 0
No picks
KO/TKO lean
17 sources
High conviction · 70%
Result
Crowd leaned right ✓Ryan Gandra via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Ryan Gandra · 10
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Ryan Gandra
BE
BetSam High
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath High
Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
High conviction · 57%
Result
82% called it ✓Alessandro Costa via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Alessandro Costa · 14
TH
TheWeasle High
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Alessandro Costa
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Alessandro Costa
BE
BetSam High
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Alessandro Costa · Decision
AM
Artem MMA High
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Alessandro Costa
HO
HopperoMMA High
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Alessandro Costa · Submission
KU
Kunath High
Alessandro Costa · KO/TKO
Not financial advice · Always do your own research · Gamble responsibly
u/SplitAces_ · Data from 17 public sources
u/SplitAces_ · Data from 17 public sources
SplitPicks consensus pick: Zara Vance by TKO · splitpicks.com