2026-07-11
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
17 sources · 14 fights
138 MMAArtem MMABedtime MMABetSamDFS By The NumbersHalf The BattleHopperoMMAJakeGerberMMAKunathLucrative JamesMMA ExpertsSideswipe MMASlayers PicksSplitAces_The MMA GuruTheWeasleWe Want Picks
Community recap
11/14 fights called correctly
79%
Best call
Max Holloway
100% backed · TKO
Upset
Brandon Royval
100% missed · crowd picked Lone'er Kavanagh
Consensus
Max Holloway
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
-235
✓ Hit
Lone'er Kavanagh
Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh
-230
✗ Missed
Adrian Yañez
Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yañez
-440
✓ Hit
Luke Riley
Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III
-310
✓ Hit
Gable Steveson
Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison
UFC DEBUT
No Value
-4000
✓ Hit
Farid Basharat
Farid Basharat vs John Garza
No Value
-670
✓ Hit
Contrarian Pick
Mario Bautista
Only 41% of analysts · Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista
+122
Main Card
5 fights
▼
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
Max Holloway
Winner ✓
100%
-235
Welterweight
VS
Conor McGregor
0%
+182
17 sources
Result
100% called it ✓Max Holloway via TKO
Hide breakdown
▼
Max Holloway · 17
BE
BetSam High
Max Holloway · TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Max Holloway · KO
AM
Artem MMA High
Max Holloway · KO
WP
We Want Picks High
Max Holloway
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Max Holloway
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Max Holloway · KO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Max Holloway · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Max Holloway · TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Max Holloway · TKO
KU
Kunath High
Max Holloway · KO
HO
HopperoMMA High
Max Holloway · TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Max Holloway · KO
TH
TheWeasle High
Max Holloway · TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Max Holloway · TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Max Holloway · KO
HB
Half The Battle High
Max Holloway · TKO
1M
138 MMA Low
Max Holloway
Conor McGregor · 0
No picks
Sub lean Strong consensus
Paddy Pimblett
Winner ✓
76%
+114
Lightweight
VS
Benoît Saint Denis
24%
-146
17 sources
Result
76% called it ✓Paddy Pimblett via Technical Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Paddy Pimblett · 13
BE
BetSam High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
LJ
Lucrative James High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
AM
Artem MMA Low
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
WP
We Want Picks Low
Paddy Pimblett
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Paddy Pimblett · KO
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Paddy Pimblett · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Paddy Pimblett · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
KU
Kunath High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
ME
MMA Experts High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Paddy Pimblett · Submission
1M
138 MMA Med
Paddy Pimblett
Decision lean
Cory Sandhagen
59%
-156
Bantamweight
VS
Mario Bautista
Winner ✓
41%
+122
17 sources
Result
UpsetMario Bautista via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Cory Sandhagen · 10
BE
BetSam Med
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Cory Sandhagen
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
KU
Kunath High
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
TH
TheWeasle Med
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Cory Sandhagen · Decision
1M
138 MMA Med
Cory Sandhagen
Mario Bautista · 7
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Mario Bautista · Decision
WP
We Want Picks Med
Mario Bautista
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Mario Bautista
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Mario Bautista · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA Low
Mario Bautista · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Low
Mario Bautista · Decision
HB
Half The Battle Med
Mario Bautista · Decision
KO lean Strong consensus
Lone'er Kavanagh
100%
-230
Flyweight
VS
Brandon Royval
Winner ✓
0%
+176
17 sources
Result
UpsetBrandon Royval via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Lone'er Kavanagh · 17
BE
BetSam High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO
AM
Artem MMA High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Lone'er Kavanagh
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Lone'er Kavanagh
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO
KU
Kunath High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO
HO
HopperoMMA Low
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Lone'er Kavanagh
TH
TheWeasle High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Lone'er Kavanagh · KO
HB
Half The Battle High
Lone'er Kavanagh
1M
138 MMA Low
Lone'er Kavanagh · Decision
Brandon Royval · 0
No picks
KO lean
Terrance McKinney
59%
-154
Lightweight
VS
King Green
Winner ✓
41%
+120
17 sources
Result
UpsetKing Green via TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Terrance McKinney · 10
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Terrance McKinney · KO
AM
Artem MMA High
Terrance McKinney · KO
WP
We Want Picks Low
Terrance McKinney
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Terrance McKinney · Submission
SM
Sideswipe MMA Low
Terrance McKinney
TG
The MMA Guru High
Terrance McKinney · KO
KU
Kunath Med
Terrance McKinney · KO
ME
MMA Experts High
Terrance McKinney · KO
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Terrance McKinney · TKO
1M
138 MMA Low
Terrance McKinney
Prelims
4 fights
▼
KO lean Strong consensus
Robert Whittaker
Winner ✓
76%
-148
Light Heavyweight
VS
Nikita Krylov
24%
+114
17 sources
Result
76% called it ✓Robert Whittaker via TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Robert Whittaker · 13
BE
BetSam High
Robert Whittaker · KO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Robert Whittaker
WP
We Want Picks Med
Robert Whittaker
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Robert Whittaker · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Robert Whittaker · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Robert Whittaker · KO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Robert Whittaker · KO
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Robert Whittaker · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Robert Whittaker · KO
TH
TheWeasle High
Robert Whittaker · TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Robert Whittaker · KO
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Robert Whittaker · KO
1M
138 MMA Low
Robert Whittaker
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
Gable Steveson
UFC DEBUT
Winner ✓
100%
-4000
Heavyweight
VS
Elisha Ellison
0%
+1100
17 sources
Result
100% called it ✓Gable Steveson via KO
Show breakdown
▼
Gable Steveson · 17
BE
BetSam High
Gable Steveson · KO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Gable Steveson · KO
AM
Artem MMA High
Gable Steveson · KO
WP
We Want Picks High
Gable Steveson · TKO
SP
SplitAces_ High
Gable Steveson
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Gable Steveson · KO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Gable Steveson
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Gable Steveson · TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Gable Steveson · TKO
KU
Kunath High
Gable Steveson
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Gable Steveson · Submission
ME
MMA Experts High
Gable Steveson · TKO
TH
TheWeasle High
Gable Steveson · TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Gable Steveson · TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Gable Steveson · TKO
HB
Half The Battle High
Gable Steveson
1M
138 MMA High
Gable Steveson
Elisha Ellison · 0
No picks
KO lean Strong consensus
Adrian Yañez
Winner ✓
100%
-440
Bantamweight
VS
Cody Garbrandt
0%
+310
17 sources
Result
100% called it ✓Adrian Yañez via TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Adrian Yañez · 17
BE
BetSam High
Adrian Yañez · KO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Adrian Yañez · KO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Adrian Yañez · KO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Adrian Yañez
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Adrian Yañez
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Adrian Yañez · KO
SM
Sideswipe MMA Med
Adrian Yañez · TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Adrian Yañez · TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Adrian Yañez · KO
KU
Kunath High
Adrian Yañez · KO
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Adrian Yañez · KO
ME
MMA Experts High
Adrian Yañez · KO
TH
TheWeasle High
Adrian Yañez · KO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Adrian Yañez · KO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Adrian Yañez · KO
HB
Half The Battle High
Adrian Yañez · KO
1M
138 MMA Low
Adrian Yañez
Cody Garbrandt · 0
No picks
Decision lean Strong consensus
Luke Riley
Winner ✓
100%
-310
Featherweight
VS
Kai Kamaka III
0%
+230
17 sources
Result
100% called it ✓Luke Riley via TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Luke Riley · 17
BE
BetSam High
Luke Riley · KO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Luke Riley · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Luke Riley · KO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Luke Riley · Decision
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Luke Riley
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Luke Riley · KO
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Luke Riley
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Luke Riley · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Luke Riley · KO
KU
Kunath High
Luke Riley · KO
HO
HopperoMMA High
Luke Riley · KO
ME
MMA Experts Med
Luke Riley · Decision
TH
TheWeasle High
Luke Riley · KO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Luke Riley · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Luke Riley · Decision
HB
Half The Battle Med
Luke Riley · Decision
1M
138 MMA Med
Luke Riley
Kai Kamaka III · 0
No picks
Early Prelims
5 fights
▼
Decision lean
WMMA
Wang Cong
Winner ✓
65%
-118
W. Flyweight
VS
Tracy Cortez
35%
-108
17 sources
Result
Crowd leaned right ✓Wang Cong via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Wang Cong · 11
BE
BetSam Med
Wang Cong · KO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Wang Cong
WP
We Want Picks Med
Wang Cong
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Wang Cong · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA High
Wang Cong
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Wang Cong · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru High
Wang Cong · TKO
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Wang Cong · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Wang Cong · Decision
TH
TheWeasle High
Wang Cong · Decision
1M
138 MMA Med
Wang Cong · Decision
KO lean Strong consensus
Damian Pinas
Winner ✓
88%
-225
Middleweight
VS
César Almeida
12%
+172
16 sources
Result
88% called it ✓Damian Pinas via KO
Show breakdown
▼
Damian Pinas · 14
BE
BetSam High
Damian Pinas · KO
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Damian Pinas · KO
AM
Artem MMA High
Damian Pinas · KO
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Damian Pinas
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Damian Pinas · KO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Damian Pinas · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Damian Pinas · Decision
KU
Kunath High
Damian Pinas · KO
ME
MMA Experts High
Damian Pinas · KO
TH
TheWeasle High
Damian Pinas · KO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Damian Pinas · KO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Damian Pinas · KO
HB
Half The Battle High
Damian Pinas
1M
138 MMA Med
Damian Pinas · KO
Decision lean Strong consensus
Farid Basharat
Winner ✓
100%
-670
Bantamweight
VS
John Garza
UFC DEBUT
0%
+430
9 sources
Result
100% called it ✓Farid Basharat via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Farid Basharat · 9
AM
Artem MMA High
Farid Basharat · Submission
WP
We Want Picks High
Farid Basharat
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Farid Basharat
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Farid Basharat · Decision
SM
Sideswipe MMA Low
Farid Basharat
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Farid Basharat · Decision
TH
TheWeasle High
Farid Basharat · Submission
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Farid Basharat · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Farid Basharat · Decision
John Garza · 0
No picks
KO lean
Ryan Gandra
Winner ✓
59%
-140
Middleweight
VS
Zachary Reese
41%
+110
17 sources
Result
Crowd leaned right ✓Ryan Gandra via TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Ryan Gandra · 10
BE
BetSam High
Ryan Gandra · KO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Ryan Gandra · KO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Ryan Gandra
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Ryan Gandra · KO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Ryan Gandra · KO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Ryan Gandra · KO
KU
Kunath High
Ryan Gandra · KO
ME
MMA Experts High
Ryan Gandra · KO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Ryan Gandra · KO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Ryan Gandra · KO
KO lean Strong consensus
Alessandro Costa
Winner ✓
82%
-265
Flyweight
VS
Cody Durden
18%
+200
17 sources
Result
82% called it ✓Alessandro Costa via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Alessandro Costa · 14
BE
BetSam High
Alessandro Costa · KO
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Alessandro Costa · KO
AM
Artem MMA High
Alessandro Costa · KO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Alessandro Costa
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Alessandro Costa
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Alessandro Costa · KO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Alessandro Costa · TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Alessandro Costa · TKO
KU
Kunath High
Alessandro Costa · KO
HO
HopperoMMA High
Alessandro Costa · KO
ME
MMA Experts High
Alessandro Costa · Submission
TH
TheWeasle High
Alessandro Costa · TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Alessandro Costa · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Alessandro Costa
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u/SplitAces_ · Data from 17 public sources
u/SplitAces_ · Data from 17 public sources
SplitPicks consensus pick: Zara Vance by TKO · splitpicks.com