2026-08-29
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
17 sources · 13 fights
138 MMA↗Artem MMA↗Bedtime MMA↗BetSam↗DFS By The Numbers↗FALSE PROFITHalf The Battle↗HopperoMMA↗JakeGerberMMA↗Kunath↗Lucrative James↗MMA Experts↗Slayers Picks↗SplitAces_The MMA Guru↗TheWeasle↗We Want Picks↗
Community recap
8/13 fights called correctly
62%
Best call
Kai Asakura
100% backed · KO/TKO
Upset
Song Yadong
94% missed · crowd picked Umar Nurmagomedov
Consensus
Kai Asakura
Aori Qileng vs Kai Asakura
-500
✓ Hit
André Lima
Namsrai Batbayar vs André Lima
-270
✓ Hit
Rei Tsuruya
Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas
No Value
-900
✓ Hit
Underdog Picks
Jack Jenkins
59% of analysts · Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson
+124
✗ Missed
Cameron Nelson
65% of analysts · Ding Meng vs Cameron Nelson
UFC DEBUT
+114
✓ Hit
Contrarian Pick
Song Yadong
Only 6% of analysts · Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong
+460
Main Card
6 fights
▼
Decision lean Strong consensus
17 sources
High conviction · 81%
Result
UpsetSong Yadong via KO/TKO
Hide breakdown
▼
Umar Nurmagomedov · 16
TH
TheWeasle High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
LJ
Lucrative James High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
FP
FALSE PROFIT Med
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
WP
We Want Picks High
Umar Nurmagomedov
SP
SplitAces_ High
Umar Nurmagomedov
BE
BetSam High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
HB
Half The Battle High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Decision
KU
Kunath High
Umar Nurmagomedov · Submission
1M
138 MMA High
Umar Nurmagomedov
Song Yadong · 1
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Song Yadong · KO/TKO
Decision lean
WMMA
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 27%
Result
UpsetDenise Gomes via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Yan Xiaonan · 11
TH
TheWeasle Med
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
FP
FALSE PROFIT Med
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
HB
Half The Battle High
Yan Xiaonan · Decision
1M
138 MMA High
Yan Xiaonan
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
High conviction · 59%
Result
100% called it ✓Kai Asakura via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Kai Asakura · 17
TH
TheWeasle Med
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
FP
FALSE PROFIT Low
Kai Asakura · Decision
WP
We Want Picks Med
Kai Asakura
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Kai Asakura
BE
BetSam High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
HB
Half The Battle High
Kai Asakura · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath Med
Kai Asakura
1M
138 MMA Med
Kai Asakura
Aori Qileng · 0
No picks
Decision lean Strong consensus
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 47%
Result
88% called it ✓Su Mudaerji via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Su Mudaerji · 15
TH
TheWeasle Med
Su Mudaerji · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Su Mudaerji · Decision
FP
FALSE PROFIT Med
Su Mudaerji · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
Su Mudaerji
SP
SplitAces_ High
Su Mudaerji
BE
BetSam High
Su Mudaerji · Decision
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Su Mudaerji · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Su Mudaerji · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Su Mudaerji · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Su Mudaerji · Decision
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Su Mudaerji · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Su Mudaerji
HB
Half The Battle High
Su Mudaerji · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath High
Su Mudaerji · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Low
Su Mudaerji
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 36%
Result
82% called it ✓Liu Ce via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Liu Ce · 14
TH
TheWeasle Med
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
FP
FALSE PROFIT High
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks High
Liu Ce · Decision
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Liu Ce
BE
BetSam Med
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA Med
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA High
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Liu Ce · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA Med
Liu Ce
KO/TKO lean Strong consensus
17 sources
High conviction · 81%
Result
94% called it ✓Bilal Hasan via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Bilal Hasan · 16
TH
TheWeasle High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
FP
FALSE PROFIT Med
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks High
Bilal Hasan
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Bilal Hasan
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
HO
HopperoMMA High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
TG
The MMA Guru High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
ME
MMA Experts High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
HB
Half The Battle High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
KU
Kunath High
Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA High
Bilal Hasan
Nilson Rojas · 1
BE
BetSam Med
Nilson Rojas
Prelims
7 fights
▼
Decision lean Strong consensus
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 29%
Result
100% called it ✓André Lima via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
André Lima · 17
TH
TheWeasle Med
André Lima · KO/TKO
LJ
Lucrative James High
André Lima · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
André Lima · Decision
FP
FALSE PROFIT High
André Lima · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks Med
André Lima
SP
SplitAces_ Low
André Lima
BE
BetSam Med
André Lima
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
André Lima · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
André Lima · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
André Lima · Submission
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
André Lima · Submission
HO
HopperoMMA Med
André Lima · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
André Lima · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
André Lima · Decision
HB
Half The Battle High
André Lima · Decision
KU
Kunath High
André Lima · Decision
1M
138 MMA Med
André Lima
Namsrai Batbayar · 0
No picks
Sub lean Strong consensus
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 47%
Result
100% called it ✓Rei Tsuruya via Submission
Show breakdown
▼
Rei Tsuruya · 17
TH
TheWeasle Med
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
LJ
Lucrative James High
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
SP
Slayers Picks Med
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
FP
FALSE PROFIT Low
Rei Tsuruya · Decision
WP
We Want Picks Med
Rei Tsuruya
SP
SplitAces_ Low
Rei Tsuruya
BE
BetSam High
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Rei Tsuruya · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA High
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
JA
JakeGerberMMA High
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
HO
HopperoMMA High
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Rei Tsuruya
ME
MMA Experts High
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
HB
Half The Battle Med
Rei Tsuruya
KU
Kunath High
Rei Tsuruya · Submission
1M
138 MMA Med
Rei Tsuruya
Kevin Borjas · 0
No picks
Decision lean
16 sources
Moderate conviction · 27%
Result
UpsetFrancesco Nuzzi via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Xiao Long · 11
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Xiao Long · KO/TKO
FP
FALSE PROFIT High
Xiao Long · KO/TKO
BE
BetSam Med
Xiao Long · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Xiao Long · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Xiao Long · Submission
JA
JakeGerberMMA Low
Xiao Long · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Xiao Long
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Xiao Long · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Xiao Long
KU
Kunath Med
Xiao Long · KO/TKO
1M
138 MMA High
Xiao Long
Decision lean
17 sources
Low conviction · 10%
Result
UpsetSean Woodson via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Jack Jenkins · 10
WP
We Want Picks Med
Jack Jenkins
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Jack Jenkins
BE
BetSam Med
Jack Jenkins · KO/TKO
BM
Bedtime MMA High
Jack Jenkins · KO/TKO
AM
Artem MMA Low
Jack Jenkins · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Jack Jenkins · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Jack Jenkins · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Jack Jenkins · KO/TKO
HB
Half The Battle Med
Jack Jenkins
1M
138 MMA Low
Jack Jenkins
Decision lean Strong consensus
16 sources
Moderate conviction · 36%
Result
UpsetHector Santiago via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Lawrence Lui · 14
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Lawrence Lui · Decision
FP
FALSE PROFIT Med
Lawrence Lui · Submission
WP
We Want Picks High
Lawrence Lui
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Lawrence Lui
BE
BetSam High
Lawrence Lui · Submission
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Lawrence Lui · Decision
AM
Artem MMA Med
Lawrence Lui · Submission
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Lawrence Lui · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers High
Lawrence Lui · Submission
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Lawrence Lui · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Lawrence Lui · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Lawrence Lui
KU
Kunath High
Lawrence Lui · Decision
1M
138 MMA Med
Lawrence Lui
Decision lean Strong consensus
WMMA
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 33%
Result
71% called it ✓Julia Polastri via KO/TKO
Show breakdown
▼
Julia Polastri · 12
TH
TheWeasle Med
Julia Polastri · Decision
LJ
Lucrative James Med
Julia Polastri · Decision
SP
Slayers Picks Low
Julia Polastri · Decision
FP
FALSE PROFIT High
Julia Polastri · Decision
WP
We Want Picks Low
Julia Polastri · Decision
BE
BetSam Med
Julia Polastri · Decision
BM
Bedtime MMA Med
Julia Polastri · Decision
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Julia Polastri · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Med
Julia Polastri · Decision
ME
MMA Experts High
Julia Polastri · Decision
HB
Half The Battle High
Julia Polastri
KU
Kunath High
Julia Polastri · Decision
KO/TKO lean
17 sources
Moderate conviction · 27%
Result
Crowd leaned right ✓Cameron Nelson via Decision
Show breakdown
▼
Cameron Nelson · 11
TH
TheWeasle Med
Cameron Nelson · Submission
FP
FALSE PROFIT High
Cameron Nelson · KO/TKO
WP
We Want Picks High
Cameron Nelson · Decision
SP
SplitAces_ Med
Cameron Nelson
BE
BetSam Med
Cameron Nelson · KO/TKO
JA
JakeGerberMMA Med
Cameron Nelson · Decision
DN
DFS By The Numbers Low
Cameron Nelson
HO
HopperoMMA Med
Cameron Nelson · Decision
TG
The MMA Guru Med
Cameron Nelson · Decision
KU
Kunath High
Cameron Nelson · Submission
1M
138 MMA Med
Cameron Nelson
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u/SplitAces_ · Data from 17 public sources
u/SplitAces_ · Data from 17 public sources
SplitPicks consensus pick: Zara Vance by TKO · splitpicks.com